As the week leading to Christmas kicks off, Wall Street has maintained the optimism prevalent since late October, with all major large-cap indices edging upward.
Investors continue to ignore warnings from Federal Reserve policymakers regarding the exceptional exuberance over their expectations for rate cuts in 2024. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, traders are factoring in six rate cuts for 2024, starting in March.
Cleveland Fed President Loretta J. Mester has indicated the market might be getting too ahead of itself regarding rate cuts, a sentiment echoed by New York Fed President John Williams Friday.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, known for his dovish views, mentioned on CNBC Monday morning that the market may have misinterpreted the Federal Reserve’s message from last week.
The S&P 500 saw a 0.5% increase, mirrored by a similar gain in the tech-focused Nasdaq 100. The Dow Jones experienced a more modest rise of 0.2%, while small caps remained stable following a remarkable 6.6% surge last week. Treasury yields moved slightly higher, with the 10-year yield rising to 3.96%. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) fell 0.9%.
The Nasdaq 100, as tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust (NYSE:QQQ), is now only 0.4% far off its November 2021 record highs.
In the commodities market, oil prices climbed by 2%, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) reaching $74.60 a barrel, later adjusting to $73.50. This increase follows attacks on vessels in the Red Sea by Yemen’s Houthi militant group, prompting major shipping companies like BP to halt oil and gas shipments from the region.
Monday Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs
| Major Indices | Price | Percentage Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 4,737.95 | 0.5% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 16,688.19 | 0.4% |
| Dow Jones | 37,358.54 | 0.2% |
| Russell 2000 | 1,984.34 | 0.0% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) was 0.6% higher to $472.17, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:DIA) was 0.3% higher to $373.59 and the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ) rose 0.3% to $406.41, according to Benzinga Pro data.
Sector-wise, the Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLC) outperformed, up 1.4%.
The Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLRE) and the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLU) are among the laggards, both falling 1.2%.
| S&P Sector ETFs | Percentage… |
|---|
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