Donald Trump holds an edge over President Joe Biden in each of the six swing states, as revealed by a new “swing state poll” released on Monday.
Biden Vs. Trump: If Trump and Biden were the candidates for their respective political parties in the election set for Nov. 5, 2024, the former had the biggest lead of 11 percentage points over Biden in Florida, according to a “Swing State” poll conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies in partnership with The Telegraph between Dec. 28-30. The survey also considered independents and third-party candidates.
A sample of 6,029 voters across the six swing states — Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania — were contacted for the survey.
Trump led Biden by a margin of 41%-35% in Arizona, 45% to 34% in Florida, 42% to 34% in Georgia, 39% to 37% in Michigan, 37% to 33% in North Carolina, and 40% to 39% in Pennsylvania. Redfield & Wilton noted that Trump’s lead over Biden in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania had slightly narrowed from the November survey results.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s candidacy as an independent introduced an element of uncertainty, as he polled between 6% and 11% of the votes in the swing states.
The former president’s dominance in the swing states contrasts with the 2020 election results when Biden won in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, while Florida and North Carolina went to Trump.
”Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s candidacy may do more to help Donald Trump than Joe Biden,” said Redfield & Wilton, reasoning that more people who voted for Biden in 2020 said they would choose Kennedy than those who voted for Trump in the previous election.
Kennedy Jr. originally announced his candidacy as a Democrat and then withdrew his nomination to contest as an independent.
Key Election Issues: The main election issue for voters in the swing states was the economy, while abortion was cited by voters in five of the six states. Immigration was mentioned as the second most important electoral issue for voters in Arizona.
This potentially explains the positive results for Trump. An FT-Michigan Ross poll suggested that respondents…
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