The 2024 presidential election is less than 10 months away and voters could be faced with a rematch of the 2020 presidential election, which saw Joe Biden defeat Donald Trump to become the 46th president of the United States.
National polls of registered voters continue to show a close race between the two candidates, but one candidate has dominated in recent weeks.
What Happened: For many months, Biden and Trump have been the front-runners for their respective parties ahead of the 2024 presidential election.
Trump won the Iowa caucus and the New Hampshire primary. The Republican frontrunner also saw rival candidates Vivek Ramaswamy and Ron DeSantis drop out and endorse him. This leaves only Nikki Haley currently running against Trump for the GOP nomination.
The most recent Morning Consult poll of Republican voters showed Trump with a record tying 63-point lead over Haley. It also showed Trump posted 81% of support among Republicans, setting a new record since polling began and after other candidates dropped out.
Trump has had a lead of 50 points or more over his Republican opposition in several consecutive weeks. In hypothetical matchups with Biden in the national election, the two candidates have remained close until last week.
The weekly Morning Consult poll asked registered voters who they would select between the two candidates.
In this week’s poll, Trump received 44% of the vote while Biden received 42%. Nine percent selected “Someone Else” and 5% selected “Don’t Know.”
This marked a gain of two percentage points for Biden and a loss of one percentage point for Trump. The three-point swing in Biden’s favor comes after Trump had a three-point swing in each of the last two previous polls.
Independent votes, who could decide the election, selected their 2024 picks as the following, with last week’s results in parentheses:
Joe Biden: 30% (28%)
Donald Trump: 42% (38%)
Someone Else: 17% (22%)
Don’t Know: 11% (12%)
The poll found that 88% of Republican voters selected Trump, which was down two percentage points from last week’s results. It also found that 84% of Democratic voters selected Biden, which is up two percentage points from last week’s poll.
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