TRON’s market momentum has eased after a recent rally that pushed its price above $0.365, with the asset now trading at $0.355, representing a 1.76% drop over the past 24 hours.
This consolidation follows a steady climb in recent weeks that saw the network’s transaction activity and derivatives data draw increased analyst attention.
According to CryptoQuant contributor Burak Kesmeci, the current TRX futures market remains in a neutral position, suggesting that the asset may still have room to advance before approaching a local top.
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Futures Market Indicators and Historical Context
Kesmeci’s analysis centers on the TRON Futures Volume Bubble Map, a metric used to gauge periods of overheating in the futures market. Historically, this tool has flagged heightened risk when red-toned “bubbles” appear, marking moments of excessive speculative activity. The last notable instance occurred in early December 2024, when TRX rose from $0.26 to $0.45 before hitting a local peak.
At present, Kesmeci notes that the indicator has not entered the high-risk zone, meaning TRX has not yet reached levels of speculative saturation. This, in theory, leaves space for further price increases if current market trends persist.
Futures market analysis like this often helps traders differentiate between rallies supported by organic demand and those driven primarily by leveraged speculation. The neutral reading suggests that current TRX movements could be supported by genuine buying interest rather than excessive short-term leverage.
A balanced outlook, however, would also consider that futures market conditions can shift quickly. If trading volume or open interest begins to rise sharply alongside price, the risk of a pullback could grow. For now, the neutral futures environment combined with moderate spot market activity provides a base for potential incremental gains.
TRON On-Chain Data Reveals Exchange-Linked Transfer Spike
In a separate observation, CryptoQuant analyst CryptoOnchain highlighted unusual network activity on July 19, 2025, when more than 3.426 billion TRX, valued at roughly $1.11 billion, moved across the blockchain in a single day.
A closer breakdown of these transactions indicates that this surge was not the result of organic user demand but was instead tied to operational movements between a small group of large wallets.
The data shows…
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