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Q4 Outlook Indicates Parabolic Move Toward $120,000

Q4 Outlook Indicates Parabolic Move Toward $120,000


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For the past five days, the Bitcoin price has remained locked in a narrow range between $62,000 and $64,000, following a surge of bullish sentiment triggered by the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) decision to cut interest rates on September 18. 

This pivotal move by the Fed has sparked optimism among investors. Yet, Bitcoin has struggled to consolidate above the critical $64,000 level, which, if surpassed, could pave the way for a retest of previously lost resistance levels, potentially targeting $70,000 in the near term.

Bitcoin Price Set To Reach New All-Time Highs?

Despite this short-term stagnation, several analysts maintain an optimistic outlook for the Bitcoin price as the market approaches the fourth quarter (Q4) of the year. Market expert Lark Davis, for example, recently highlighted the historical trends that suggest the average return for Bitcoin during Q4 is a notable 88%. 

Davis suggested that if the Bitcoin price were to replicate this performance, it could soar to nearly $120,000. Even a more conservative estimate of a 55% gain – similar to last year’s performance – would take the price to $100,000.

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In addition, the expert points out that this year offers unique catalysts that could drive significant price movements, including the launch of the Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) market, the upcoming US elections, and the expected $16 billion in cash repayments from the collapsed FTX exchange. 

However, when analyzing the current state of the Bitcoin market, there are signs that current price movements are being “artificially constrained.”

Analysts Warns Of Final Dip Before Further Price Gains

Analyst InspoCrypto has noted that the price action has been persistently hovering around $63,000, with breakout attempts being blocked. A significant institutional options trader has reportedly executed a block trade that appears designed to keep Bitcoin’s price stable until October 4. 

InspoCrypto further explains that the Spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) indicates a pattern of distribution even as prices rise, while the Futures CVD shows a divergence, suggesting that recent price increases have been primarily driven by futures trading. 

The Whales vs. Retail Ratio analysis from Hyblock supports this view, revealing that while whales are accumulating short positions, retail investors are predominantly betting on long…

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