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PayPal’s Phoenix Moment? What’s Fueling The Stock Surge Ahead Of Q4 Results

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PayPal Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:PYPL) shares, consolidating under $100 since April 2022, gained volume momentum in mid-January, sparking discussions on social media platforms and chatrooms, fueling speculation about its emergence as a new meme stock.

Stock Trajectory:

PayPal’s stock, regarded as a “COVID-19 play” during the pandemic, reached an intra-day record of $310.16 on July 26, 2021, completing a double top formation. 

Following this, the stock underwent a secular downtrend until June 2022, influenced by economic reopening, rising interest rates, and inflation concerns impacting fundamentals.

The release of 2023 first- and second-quarter results in early May and August led to significant downward gaps. After hitting a low of slightly over $51 in late October 2023, the stock rose until last Monday.

Chart Courtesy of Benzinga

Recent Developments:

Notably, trading volume surged in mid-January, consistently surpassing the three-month average volume of 17.95 million. On Jan. 22, with the stock peaking at $68.21, approximately 44 million shares exchanged hands. 

Despite paring some gains since then, the stock closed Friday’s session up 1.76% at $61.78, according to Benzinga Pro data.

The recent weakness is attributed to a lukewarm response to the “First Look” keynote by the new CEO, Alex Chriss, hosted on YouTube. The event aimed to showcase new product innovations and AI enhancements at PayPal and its Venmo mobile payments subsidiary.

See Also: Best Fintech stocks

Analyst Outlook:

KeyBanc Capital Markets expressed negativity about PayPal’s wallet share based on its fintech survey, citing competition from other digital wallets like Apple Pay. 

Morgan Stanley’s James Faucette voiced concerns over a lack of significant product announcements in the “First Look” presentation, impacting sentiment. “Investors … hoping for significant product announcements or integration updates were likely disappointed,” he said.

The analyst also expressed concerns over a lack of updates on measures to drive Venmo checkout usage and acceptance. “Venmo is PayPal’s key strategic asset to growing and retaining share with Gen Z/Y, particularly by widening its acceptance and increasing availability of credit on the app,” he said.

PayPal offers services such as online checkout,…

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