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Dogecoin Hits A ‘Blood In The Streets’ Moment: Buy Or Sell Now?

MVRV ratios


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Dogecoin (DOGE) has again found itself in the crosshairs of market watchers, with a “blood in the streets” moment emerging according to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment. The firm’s latest research, shared on January 8 via X, highlights a series of negative MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratios across the crypto landscape—encompassing Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Cardano (ADA), and Dogecoin.

“Average trading returns are a great representation of whether ‘buying low’ or ‘selling high’ is actually the right timing,” Santiment stated, stressing that current on-chain metrics point toward an environment where many crypto assets are sitting in oversold territory.

“When MVRV’s are negative, this means a buy or addition to your holding is doing so while others are already at a loss. Historically, these ‘blood in the streets’ moments are when professional traders make money,” Samtiment writes.

The data Santiment published includes the 30-day MVRV ratios for four major assets as of January 8. Bitcoin’s MVRV ratio is at -3.73%, Ethereum’s at -7.71%, Cardano’s at -6.69% and Dogecoin’s at -8.89%.

MVRV ratio for BTC, ETH, ADA, DOGE | Source: X @santimentfeed

In simple terms, MVRV compares the total market capitalization of a cryptocurrency (its “Market Value”) with the total cost basis of holders (its “Realized Value”). A negative MVRV often indicates that the average holder is currently underwater on their position.

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For Dogecoin, the -8.89% MVRV ratio suggests that—on average—investors who acquired DOGE in the last 30 days are sitting on notable unrealized losses. This contrasts with BTC’s less pronounced -3.73%, indicating that Dogecoin’s short-term holders are, on average, deeper in the red relative to Bitcoin’s. Ethereum (-7.71%) and Cardano (-6.69%) also face negative territory, but their holders are faring slightly better than Dogecoin over the past month.

Because DOGE’s MVRV is the most negative among the four mentioned, there is potential for a stronger recovery bounce if market conditions stabilize. However, it also underscores higher risk if broader crypto sentiment remains fragile. As Santiment noted, traders often scan for negative MVRV as a potential opportunity to “buy low,” but this is by no means a guarantee of immediate upside.

Buy Or Sell Dogecoin…

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