Curve DAO’s governance token CRV dropped 12% on June15 after reports surfaced of risky loans taken by its founder, Michael Egorov, on Aave. The token recorded its lowest trading level against ether (ETH) at 0.00035010 ETH on June 15.
According to on-chain analytics outlet LookOnChain, Egorov deposited 431 million CRV (worth around $246 million) across multiple decentralized lending protocols and borrowed $101.5M of stablecoins on multiple platforms. The deposits by Egorov account for 50.5% of CRV’s circulating supply.
DeFiLlama data shows that CRV faces a liquidation threat of $107 million on Aave if its value falls below $0.37. After a liquidation is triggered, the CRV tokens will be locked in Aave’s smart contracts until an interested buyer settles and liquidates the collateral. A proposal has been made to freeze Egorov’s loans on Aave and prevent further CRV loans to avoid a catastrophic situation.
While the size of Egorov’s loans puts the token under tremendous pressure, the negative bets on CRV have risen considerably, providing fuel for a possible quick upside move.
Is a CRV short squeeze in the making?
The open interest volume for CRV perpetual swap contracts has increased from $35.5 million to $46.3 million following the revelation of Egorov’s loans.
The funding rate for CRV token on centralized derivatives exchanges like Binance and OKX has dropped to historical lows near 81% per annum, per Coinglass data. The negative funding rate suggests that most of these new traders are betting on additional price downside.
As the short side gets crowded, it creates an opportunity for buyers to hunt their stop losses. The phenomenon is known as a short squeeze. It occurs when an asset’s price moves quickly in the opposite direction of short players as they rush to protect their positions or buy the asset to close their positions.
Technically, the CRV/USD pair could find support around the 2022 low between $0.53 and $0.40. Given that a quick recovery is possible from a short-squeeze, the price can tag the 50-day moving average at $0.82.
To the downside, a breakdown of this support level could see the sell-off extend toward 2021 low near $0.32. At the time of publishing CRV was last trading at around $0.59.
The CRV/ETH token pair looks particularly weak as the pair recorded a new all-time low. The pair appears to be following a descending…
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