Crypto Updates

BTC Sits 7.4% Above Last Difficulty Bottom

Bitcoin Miner Capitulation model | Source: CryptoQuant

Bitcoin is trading with renewed volatility after successfully pushing back into the previous price range above the $115,000 level. This move signals resilience from the bulls, who are showing strength following several days of panic selling and heightened fears of a deeper correction. Market sentiment, while still cautious, is improving as BTC buyers reclaim ground.

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According to CryptoQuant data, the % BTC price change since the last difficulty bottom indicator currently sits at +7.4%, placing it in the green zone. This metric is a valuable tool for assessing miner health and market stability. Historically, real miner capitulation phases occur when this reading drops into sustained negative territory between –10% and –30%, typically after a series of difficulty decreases. Such conditions force weaker miners to sell holdings under pressure, often contributing to market downturns.

At present, Bitcoin’s position above zero on this indicator suggests the market has emerged from significant miner stress. This reduces the risk of forced selling from mining operations, providing a steadier backdrop for price action. While not yet in an euphoric phase, the current reading indicates a moderate but constructive environment — one that could allow BTC to build a stronger foundation for the next upward move.

Bitcoin Miner Health Signals Neutral-to-Positive Market Backdrop

Top analyst Axel Adler shared fresh data suggesting that Bitcoin’s miner health remains in a neutral-to-positive state. According to Adler, the price is currently above the last difficulty bottom level, meaning there is no capitulation among miners. This reduces pressure from forced sales by weaker mining operations, a dynamic that often adds selling pressure during market downturns.

Bitcoin Miner Capitulation model | Source: CryptoQuant

The current +7.4% reading on the “% BTC price change since last difficulty bottom” indicator points to moderate momentum. While this is a constructive signal, Adler noted that it is far from the euphoric conditions seen in past market peaks, when readings surged between +50% and +80%.

Looking ahead, Adler outlined several key factors to monitor:

Next difficulty adjustment during falling prices: This would be a warning sign, indicating potential stress for weaker miners.

Hashprice/revenue per TH/s: Tracking miner profitability can confirm or refute whether the sector is under pressure.

Miner reserves: An increase in selling…

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