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BTC price models hint at $130K target after 2024 Bitcoin halving

BTC price models hint at $130K target after 2024 Bitcoin halving

Bitcoin (BTC) is destined to hit $128,000 or more by the end of 2025, multiple analytics models suggest.

Uploading his latest BTC price estimates to X on Oct. 17, popular trader and analyst CryptoCon deduced a two-year target of around $130,000.

Multiple BTC price forecasts converge on $130,000 in 2025

Bitcoin market participants are diverging over how BTC price behavior will respond to next year’s block subsidy halving, but for CryptoCon, the long-term roadmap is looking firmly bullish.

In an update for various models charting both Bitcoin price cycles and their highs and lows, the analyst reiterated that the area around $130,000 was fast becoming a magnet.

“I’ve been doing a lot of Bitcoin cycle top experiments lately, and I keep seeing right around the same price… 130k,” he summarized.

An accompanying chart highlighted so-called “early” tops in each price cycle, along with the actual cycle top constituting a new all-time high.

The early tops on average occur three weeks either side of July 9, CryptoCon explained. The new all-time highs come three weeks either side of Nov. 28 — already a popular phenomenon that Cointelegraph reported on last month.

The timing for these events comes from plotting simple diagonal trendlines from the first early top.

“Doing this has found the the price of the last two cycle tops exactly, and with our trend from last cycle, gives us a price of about 138k,” the X post continued.

“I am prepared for lower prices, but the stars are aligning at 130k for Bitcoin this cycle!”

BTC price model data. Source: CryptoCon/X

Per model timing, 2025 should be the year that the next cycle top occurs, just under twice the current record set in 2021.

“History favors the bears”

Four-year halving cycles meanwhile form a guide for many well-known Bitcoin market commentators.

Related: Mining BTC is harder than ever — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

Among them is popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital, who continues to stress that the pre-halving year 2023 could bring about some new local lows before the bull market attains full force.

Previously, he warned that the $32,000 highs seen…

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