A Bank of America (BOFA) commodity strategist has postulated that gold, should it continue to flourish in 2023, could pave the way for a climb to $2,500 per ounce. Presently priced at $1,983 per unit, the precious metal remains just shy of the $2,000 threshold. However, if it were to achieve the projected $2,500 target, its value would need to rise by more than 26% against the U.S. dollar.
‘Non-Commercial Purchases Do Not Need to Increase Materially to Justify Gold Hitting $2,500,’ Says BOFA Commodity Strategist
In 2023 thus far, gold has demonstrated admirable performance, with its price soaring by over 19% in the span of six months. The past 30 days, in particular, have seen a noteworthy 1.33% spike in the price of this treasured metal. Furthermore, a recently-released memo from a BOFA commodity strategist opines that, to realize the envisioned $2,500 per ounce milestone, gold need not scale much further in value.
“Bottom line: non-commercial purchases do not need to increase materially to justify gold hitting $2,500/oz this year,” the BOFA strategist stated.”Inflows into ETFs will be critical and dynamics in assets under management will be a crucial indicator confirming whether price gains can be sustained.”
The note comes at a time when central banks have been purchasing large amounts of gold in 2023. China, for one, boosted its gold stockpile by 18 tons in March, propelling its national reserve’s holdings of the precious metal to 2,068 tons. As reported by the World Gold Council, the trend of central banks’ gold acquisitions, which started in 2022, has continued into 2023. Additionally, statistics from Google Trends reveal that during the first week of April 2023, the search query “how to buy gold” garnered a perfect score of 100.
Despite a note from BOFA senior economist Aditya Bhave, released in early March 2023, which he predicted the Fed would persist in raising rates, the subsequent report by the bank’s commodity strategist projected an end to rate hikes. “Influenced by the recent banking turmoil, markets are pricing imminent rate cuts,” the strategist opined this week. “At the same time, core inflation has been sticky and elevated price pressures, for example in shelter, highlight the risk of second round effects.”
The BOFA strategist added:
This confirms our long-held view: central banks have no silver bullet for fighting inflation and this should ultimately bring investors back to the market. The end of…
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