Bitcoin Capitulation 4th Worst Ever As BTC Hodlers Lose $10B In A Week

Bitcoin (BTC) hodlers have capitulated more than at almost any point in Bitcoin’s history this month.

Data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode confirms that the November 2022 BTC sell-off was the fourth-largest ever.

Bitcoin investors see multi-billion dollar loss

In the latest edition of its weekly newsletter, “The Week On-Chain,” Glassnode got to grips with the impact of the FTX debacle on BTC investors.

The results have been mixed, it reveals, with a major loss of confidence on one hand triggering loss-making divestment of funds, while “strong accumulation” has also occurred.

For those entering BTC in current conditions, however, life has been anything but easy.

“One consistent event which motivates the transition from a bear back towards a bull market is the dramatic realization of losses, as investors give up and capitulate at scale,” Glassnode explained.

“November has seen the fourth largest capitulation event on record, recording a 7-day realized loss of -$10.16B. This is 4.0x larger than the peak in Dec 2018, and 2.2x larger than March 2020.”

Bitcoin realized loss 7-day sum annotated chart (screenshot). Source: Glassnode

While the dollar-value capitulation can be explained thanks to BTC/USD trading five times higher than in late 2018 and 4.5 times higher than in March 2020, it is not secret that cold feet have characterized crypto markets since FTX imploded.

As Cointelegraph reported, directly following the event, hodlers were sitting on 50% of the BTC supply at an unrealized loss.

Glassnode referenced Bitcoin’s Adjusted MVRV Ratio, which shows that coins moving on-chain are returning loss-making levels rarely seen before in what it calls “peak under-performance.”

Adjusted MVRV Ratio is the relationship between the market value of BTC and its realized value, minus the profit impact of coins dormant for seven years or longer.

“This metric is currently returning a value of 0.63 (average unrealized loss of 37%), which is very significant since only 1.57% of trading days in bitcoin history have recorded a lower Adjusted MVRV value,” the newsletter stated.

“In other words, if we discount profit held across the presumably lost supply, the current market is the most underwater it has been since the near pico-bottom set in Dec 2018 and Jan 2015.”