3 key metrics suggest Bitcoin and the wider crypto market have further to fall

The total crypto market capitalization has fluctuated in a 17% range in the $840 billion to $980 billion zone for the past 28 days. The price movement is relatively tight considering the extreme uncertainties surrounding the recent market sell-off catalysts and the controversy surrounding Three Arrows Capital.

From July 4 to July 11, Bitcoin (BTC) gained a modest 1.8% while Ether (ETH) price stood flat. More importantly, the total crypto market is down 50% in just three months which means traders are giving higher odds of the descending triangle formation breaking below its $840 billion support.

#Bitcoin Bottom scenario :

Since #BTC downtrend from its peak $BTC has farming the same Decending triangle pattern every time, but each triangle is becoming smaller

We might see another breakdown from triangle & 400WMA can be bottom #Crypto #cryptocurrencies #cryptocurrency https://t.co/BsXBAJHa4P pic.twitter.com/oAQ0IX5XgU

— Aditya Siddhartha Roy❁ (@Adityaroypspk) July 7, 2022

Regulation uncertainties continue to weigh down investor sentiment after the European Central Bank (ECB) released a report concluding that a lack of regulatory oversight added to the recent downfall of algorithmic stablecoins. As a result, the ECB recommended supervisory and regulatory measures to contain the potential impact of stablecoins in European countries’ financial systems.

On July 5, Jon Cunliffe, the deputy governor for financial stability at the Bank of England (BoE) recommended a set of regulations to tackle the cryptocurrency ecosystem risks. Cunliffe called for a regulatory framework similar to traditional finance to shelter investors from unrecoverable losses.

A few mid-cap altcoins rallied and sentiment slightly improved

The bearish sentiment from late June dissipated according to the Fear and Greed Index, a data-driven sentiment gauge. The indicator reached a record low of 6/100 on June 19 but improved to 22/100 on July 11 as investors began to build the confidence in a market cycle bottom.

Below are the winners and losers from the past seven days. Notice that a handful of mid-capitalization altcoins rallied 13% or higher even though the total market capitalization increased by 2%.

AAVE gained 20% as the lending protocol announced plans to launch an algorithmic stablecoin, a proposal that is subject to the…