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Ethereum price hits 6-month high amid BlackRock spot ETF buzz, but where’s the retail demand?

Ethereum price hits 6-month high amid BlackRock spot ETF buzz, but where’s the retail demand?

Ether (ETH) experienced a surprising 8% rally on Nov. 9, breaking the $2,000 barrier and achieving its highest price level in six months. This surge, triggered by news of BlackRock registering the iShares Ethereum Trust in Delaware, resulted in $48 million worth of liquidations in ETH short futures. The initial announcement was made by @SummersThings on a social network, later confirmed by Bloomberg ETF analysts.

The news fueled optimistic expectations regarding a potential Ether spot ETF filing by BlackRock, a $9 trillion asset manager. This speculation follows BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust registry in Delaware in June 2023, a week prior to their initial spot Bitcoin ETF application. However, with no official statement from BlackRock, investors may have jumped the gun, though the sheer influence of the asset manager in traditional finance leaves those betting against Ether’s success in a precarious position.

Professional traders placed bullish ETH bets using derivatives

To understand how professional traders are positioned after the surprise rally, one should analyze the ETH derivatives metrics. Normally, Ether monthly futures trade at a 5%–10% annualized premium compared to spot markets, indicating that sellers demand additional money to postpone settlement.

Ether 2-month futures premium. Source: Laevitas

The Ether futures premium, jumping to 9.5% on Nov. 9, marked the highest level in over a year and broke above the 5% neutral threshold on Oct. 31. This shift ended a two-month bearish period and low demand for leveraged long positions.

To assess whether the break above $2,000 has led to excessive optimism, traders should…

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