Crypto Updates

Bearish Divergence? Bitcoin Price Rises, But Network Growth Sends Warning Signals


The recent Bitcoin (BTC) price surge has ignited renewed interest and confidence among investors, leading many to believe that the BTC bull run is accelerating

According to trader and crypto analyst Adrian Zduńczyk, Bitcoin has reached a new 52-week closing high and has maintained a close above the previous high of $32,000 for three consecutive weeks. 

This sustained upward momentum indicates a strong bullish trend sentiment and signals the beginning of the third wave of the Bitcoin bull run.

Analyst Highlights Key Trends

Zduńczyk points out several dominant trends that contribute to the positive outlook for Bitcoin. The rising 200-week and 50-week moving averages (MAs) highlight the long-term uptrend strength, with key support levels at $28,800 and $26,600. 

Additionally, there is a growing correlation with the S&P 500, as evidenced by the 7-week correlation coefficient of 0.34. This alignment with traditional markets suggests that Bitcoin increasingly trades similarly to the Nasdaq.

Fundamental drivers also play a significant role in Bitcoin’s upward trajectory. Traders eagerly anticipate the approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the upcoming fourth halving event. 

Furthermore, according to Zduńczyk, the historical pattern of previous halvings indicates that Bitcoin has rallied significantly after each halving and has never retraced to pre-halving prices. 

Examining the daily trend, Zduńczyk highlights the technical strength demonstrated by Bitcoin’s reliable breakout above $32,000. Breakouts often lead to new trend formations that persist over time. 

Despite occasional volatility, the 50-day average true range (ATR) trend and the 50-day relative strength index (RSI) momentum trend are rising, indicating ongoing positive momentum.

Bitcoin’s future appears promising, supported by positive market trends, fundamental drivers, and technical indicators. However, warning signs cast doubt on Bitcoin’s favorable outlook, as renowned crypto analyst Ali Martinez pointed out

Bitcoin Bullish Momentum At Risk?

Martinez draws attention to the bearish divergence between Bitcoin’s price and network growth, indicating a potential lack of sustained momentum in the ongoing uptrend.

BTC’s divergence between price and new addresses. Source: Ali Martinez on X.

The chart above shows a notable disparity between the exponential rise in Bitcoin’s price and the dramatic decline in new addresses over…

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